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Copper Stocks Are Getting a Bigger Spotlight as Gold’s Rally Cracks
Authored by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 7/1/2026.
Key Points
- Copper has outperformed gold year to date as AI infrastructure, defense, electrification and data-center demand support the long-term case.
- Hudbay Minerals is expanding its copper footprint through Arizona Sonoran and Copper Mountain while delivering record first-quarter results.
- Teck Resources offers a larger copper-focused opportunity, but its pending merger with Anglo American adds deal-related uncertainty.
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After months of a seemingly endless rally to new all-time highs, the price of gold has finally cracked in 2026, opening the door for less flashy metals like copper to step into the spotlight. Copper futures are up more than 8% year to date (YTD), while the price of gold has fallen 7% over the same period. Part of the explanation is that copper demand continues to surge because of its importance in AI infrastructure, defense applications, and other areas.
At the same time, mine supply has struggled to keep pace with demand growth. This has strained global copper availability, a challenge compounded by permitting, processing, and geopolitical factors. As many of the world's largest copper mines become deeper and lower grade, they also become more expensive and energy-intensive to operate. The result is that a handful of dominant copper producers—companies with massive resources and the operational infrastructure to keep expanding—could emerge as essential winners.
A Mid-Tier Copper Producer Expanding Thoughtfully But Steadily
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See which companies control the supply chain behind this emerging techWith a market capitalization just above $10 billion, Canadian copper miner HudBay Minerals Inc. (NYSE: HBM) has traditionally been a mid-tier producer. It has a much smaller profile than global mining giants like Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), but its strong footprint in Peru and Canada—two crucial regions for copper production—gives it meaningful growth potential.
The company is also increasingly focused on copper specifically, narrowing its operations at a time when some larger firms are moving in the opposite direction. While that could benefit HudBay if copper prices continue to rise, it also makes the company more sensitive to the copper cycle.
HudBay's production expansion is aggressive but responsible. The firm recently completed an acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. and is moving ahead with an expansion at its Copper Mountain Mine in British Columbia, both of which strengthen and diversify its North American operations. This is supported by the company's financial results, including record quarterly revenue of $757 million in Q1 2026, along with adjusted EBITDA of $422 million and $102 million in free cash flow for the period. That represented a 27% year-over-year (YOY) increase in revenue and an earnings beat of 6 cents.
As HudBay expands, its diversification helps mitigate operational risk. However, because the company owns fewer mines than some of its larger competitors—and is more heavily focused on copper than on multiple metals—it still carries execution risk and other uncertainties. Even so, the stock trades at a relatively attractive 14x earnings and has a solid Buy rating (10 Buys, two Strong Buys, and two Holds), as well as a forecast 19% upside from Wall Street analysts.
A Pre-Merger Opportunity With Teck
Teck Resources Ltd. (NYSE: TECK) is about three times the size of HudBay by market cap, but this firm is also pivoting its operations to focus more on copper. Teck largely exited its long-time steelmaking coal business in 2024, allowing it to focus on base metals such as copper and zinc. Its larger scale, combined with that streamlined approach, may give it an advantage in developing its sizable copper assets.
Teck's size also makes it a good candidate for a merger, and the company has been pursuing just that. Teck appears to be seeking a merger of equals with fellow copper producer Anglo American PLC (LON: AAL), a 40-billion-pound British multinational mining firm (approximately $53.2 billion).
The resulting "Anglo Teck" would immediately become one of the largest copper mining firms in the world by market value and would consolidate a widely varied portfolio of copper mines and development projects under a single umbrella. Investors, therefore, might view a pre-merger investment in TECK as a bet that the company will soon become a major player in the industry, on par with FCX or a similar peer.
Of course, with the merger in the works, it remains to be seen exactly how things will play out. For now, investors appear cautiously optimistic about TECK shares.
Although a majority of ratings (14) are Holds, five analysts still call TECK a Buy. Investors bullish on the company's long-term prospects—whether or not the merger is successful—may find Teck an attractive way to capitalize on the surge in copper demand, though the merger introduces unique risks for this stock compared with HBM.
3 Waste Stocks Turning AI Investments into Growth
Authored by Chris Markoch. Date Posted: 6/27/2026.
Key Points
- Waste management companies are using AI to automate operations, optimize routes, and improve profitability.
- Waste Management and Republic Services are investing heavily in AI-driven recycling and fleet management initiatives.
- Casella Waste offers investors a smaller-cap opportunity tied to AI adoption and operational efficiency gains.
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The debate over artificial intelligence has centered on one thing: the cost of the infrastructure needed to support it. That focus may be missing the point. A wider lens shifts attention to the companies already using AI to run their businesses more efficiently.
The key point to remember is that AI isn’t a one-time investment. The savings it delivers depend on an ongoing commitment—one far smaller than the CapEx hyperscalers are pouring into data centers, but far more durable. These investments aren't going away, and they will grow.
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Claim your 82% discount on ETF Income Maximizer before the offer closesSo while many investors focus on data centers, others are pocketing profits by investing in companies already using AI to make their businesses more efficient.
An overlooked sector is waste management. Companies in this industry are investing billions of dollars into AI strategies that are helping to expand margins. The sector is a perfect example of investments being made in AI today that are a down payment for a more efficient future.
Why AI Is Becoming a Growth Driver in Waste Management
According to Grand View Research, the global AI-in-waste-management market was valued at $43.2 billion in 2025. That's projected to grow to $52.4 billion this year and then to $216.4 billion by 2033. That’s a compound annual growth rate of 22.5% between now and 2033.
Currently, AI systems enable automated sorting, route optimization, and real-time monitoring to manage rising loads more efficiently.
Waste Management Leads the Industry’s Automation Push
Waste Management (NYSE: WM) is the most aggressive AI spender among the major haulers. The company committed over $1.4 billion between 2022 and 2026 to automate its Materials Recovery Facilities. The stated goal is ambitious: 90% of recycling facilities automated by 2027.
But the early results justify that level of spending. Recycling EBITDA grew 22% in 2025, even as commodity prices fell 20%. That's a company showing how to convert AI CapEx into shareholder returns.
Technically, WM shows a clean setup. Shares trade around $223, holding above the 200-week SMA of $198.
The stock bounced sharply off $200 support earlier this spring. The long-term uptrend from 2022 lows remains intact.
The risk is in the stock’s valuation. WM trades around 27x forward earnings, leaving little room for execution stumbles. Investors are paying a market multiple for the AI-disruption-proof narrative. The company must keep delivering margin gains to justify it.
Republic Services Balances AI Investments and Dividend Growth
Republic Services (NYSE: RSG) is the number two hauler by revenue, and like Waste Management, investors should pay attention to valuation. RSG trades at roughly 29x 2026 earnings estimates. That valuation bakes in continued margin expansion from automation.
RSG previewed its expanded AI strategy at the June 2026 Inaugural Waste Leadership Summit. The company is rolling out upgraded MRFs across its footprint, including an April opening in Peabody, Massachusetts. Investments target sorting accuracy, fleet routing, and dynamic pricing models.
The technical setup is less encouraging. Shares recently closed at $213.71, below the 50-week SMA of about $218.84. The stock peaked near $232 in early 2026 and has trended lower since. The 200-week SMA at $187.80 marks the next major support zone.
But with 22 consecutive years of dividend increases, RSG remains a high-quality compounder with defensive characteristics. The company’s pricing power helps make that dividend growth sustainable. But the chart suggests patience may be rewarded. A breakout above the 50-week average would signal buyers are returning with conviction.
Casella Waste Systems Offers a Contrarian AI Opportunity
Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ: CWST) is the smallest player in this group, with a market cap of just over $5 billion. The company’s regional footprint is concentrated in the Northeast and is taking a measured approach to AI. CEO Ned Coletta has emphasized integrating AI alongside existing routing tools, particularly after acquisitions.
Early use cases include real-time driver coaching and route automation across newly acquired territories. That's a different playbook than WM's facility-wide overhaul.
It fits Casella's roll-up strategy, where bolt-on deals need fast technology integration to capture synergies.
The chart tells a contrarian story. CWST trades around $92, below the 50-week SMA of $92.93 and the 200-week SMA of $93.40. Shares fell from $120 highs in late 2025 to lows near $75 earlier this year.
The technical setup carries real risk. A close below recent lows would invite further selling. But the pullback resets the valuation for investors comfortable with smaller, acquisition-driven names.
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